Question

Let {Xn }n≥0 be a Markov chain with state space E = {0, 1, . . .} and transition probabilities given by: p0,0= 1−p0,1=(3/4) pi,i+1 =(1/2)( 1−(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥0 pi,i−1 = (1/2)( 1+(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥1 Determine whether the chain is transient, null recursive, or positive recursive. In the latter case, find the stationary distribution.

92

likes
459 views

Answer to a math question Let {Xn }n≥0 be a Markov chain with state space E = {0, 1, . . .} and transition probabilities given by: p0,0= 1−p0,1=(3/4) pi,i+1 =(1/2)( 1−(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥0 pi,i−1 = (1/2)( 1+(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥1 Determine whether the chain is transient, null recursive, or positive recursive. In the latter case, find the stationary distribution.

Expert avatar
Ali
4.4
92 Answers
To determine if the Markov chain is transient, null recurrent, or positive recurrent, we need to examine the recurrence properties of the chain.

Let's first calculate the probability of return to state 0, denoted as f_{0} :
For the chain to return to state 0, it must transition from state 0 to state 1, then return from state 1 to state 0.
Thus,
f_{0} = p_{0,1} \times p_{1,0} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) = \frac{3}{8}

Now, let's calculate the probability of return to state 0 after 2 steps, denoted as f_{0}^{(2)} :
For the chain to return to state 0 after 2 steps, it must transition from state 0 to state 1, then transition from state 1 to some state i, and finally transition from state i back to state 0.
Thus,
f_{0}^{(2)} = p_{0,1} \times \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} p_{1,i}p_{i,0} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right) \times \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(1 + \frac{1}{i+2}\right)

Now, observe that \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)\left(1 + \frac{1}{i+2}\right) telescopes to 1. Thus,
f_{0}^{(2)} = \frac{3}{4} \times 1 = \frac{3}{4}

As f_{0}^{(2)} is greater than f_{0} , we can conclude that the Markov chain is positive recurrent.

To find the stationary distribution, we solve the balance equations given by \pi = \pi P where \pi is the stationary distribution vector and P is the transition probability matrix.

Writing the balance equations for this Markov chain, we get:
\pi_0 = \pi_0 p_{0,0} + \pi_1 p_{1,0}
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} p_{i-1,i} + \pi_i p_{i,i} + \pi_{i+1} p_{i+1,i} \text{ for } i \geq 1

For i = 0 , we get:
\pi_0 = \pi_0 p_{0,0} + \pi_1 p_{1,0}
\pi_0 = \pi_0 \left(1 - \frac{3}{4}\right) + \pi_1 \frac{1}{2}
\frac{1}{4} \pi_0 = \frac{1}{2} \pi_1
\pi_1 = \frac{1}{2} \pi_0

For i \geq 1 , we get:
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} p_{i-1,i} + \pi_i p_{i,i} + \pi_{i+1} p_{i+1,i}
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 + \frac{1}{i+1}\right) + \pi_i \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+1}\right) + \pi_{i+1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)

Solving the above equations recursively, we get:
\pi_{i+1} = \frac{i+2}{i+1} \pi_i

Using this, we can express \pi_i in terms of \pi_0 as:
\pi_i = \frac{2}{3}\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i \pi_0

To find \pi_0 , we use the fact that the sum of all probabilities in the stationary distribution is 1:
\sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \pi_i = 1
\pi_0 \sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i = 1
\pi_0 \left(1 + \frac{1}{4} + \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2 + \ldots \right) = 1
\pi_0 \left(\frac{1}{1 - 3/4}\right) = \pi_0 \times 4 = 1
\pi_0 = \frac{1}{4}

Therefore, the stationary distribution is:
\pi_i = \frac{2}{3}\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{2}{3} \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{i+1}

\boxed{\pi_i = \frac{2}{3} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{i+1}}

Frequently asked questions (FAQs)
What is the sine of angle A given that the opposite side is 9 and the hypotenuse is 15?
+
What is the value of f(x) if f(x) = 4 for all x?
+
What is the radian measure of an angle that covers 3/4 of a circle?
+
New questions in Mathematics
Add. 7/w²+18w+81 + 1/w²-81
a ferry travels 1/6 of the distance between two ports in 3/7 hour. The ferry travels at a constant rate. At this rate, what fraction of the distance between the two ports can the ferry travel in one hour.
Revenue Maximization: A company sells products at a price of $50 per unit. The demand function is p = 100 - q, where p is the price and q is the quantity sold. How many units should they sell to maximize revenue?
Write 32/25 as a percent
A car that starts from rest moves for 11 min, reaching a speed of 135 km/h, calculate the acceleration it had
Use the elimination to find the solution to each linear system. X+y=43 2x-y=20
what is the annual rate on ​$525 at 0.046​% per day for 3 months?
"If three wolves catch three rabbits in three hours, how many wolves would it take to catch a hundred rabbits in a hundred hours?" The answer is the number of response units.
(2b) to the 1/4th power. Write the expression in radical form.
v Is the following statement a biconditional? If Shannon is watching a Tigers game, then it is on television.
Solve : 15/16 divide 12/8 =x/y
show step by step simplification: (¬𝑑∨((¬b∧c)∨(b∧¬c)))∧((𝑎 ∧ 𝑏) ∨ (¬𝑎 ∧ ¬𝑏))∧(¬𝑐∨((¬𝑑∧𝑎)∨(𝑑∧¬𝑎)))
How many square feet of floor area are there in three two-storey apartment houses, each of which is 38 feet wide and 76 feet long?
Given (3x+2)E [2;14] how much money (in soles) does Sophia have if numerically it is the greatest value of x?
A machine produces 255 bolts in 24 minutes. At the same rate, how many bolts would be produced in 40 minutes?
9 x² + 2x + 1 = 0
The mass of 120 molecules of X2C4 is 9127.2 amu. Identify the unknown atom, X, by finding the atomic mass. The atomic mass of C is 12.01 amu/atom
The area bounded by the curve y=ln(x) and the lines x=1 and x=4 above the x−axis is
The following incoming payments show up at a tax inspection: 25 000€ on 19.01.2008, 140 000€ on 27.03.2008 and 19 000€ on a date that which is illegible, and 60 000€ on 15.06.2008. On which date did the payment of the 19 000€ appear, if on 30.06.2008 the money on the account (incl. interest at 4%) is 246 088.89€? Use simple interest and 30E/360 DCC. Solution: 45 days, 15.05.08
The slope of the tangent line to the curve f(x)=4tan x at the point (π/4,4)