Question

Let {Xn }n≥0 be a Markov chain with state space E = {0, 1, . . .} and transition probabilities given by: p0,0= 1−p0,1=(3/4) pi,i+1 =(1/2)( 1−(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥0 pi,i−1 = (1/2)( 1+(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥1 Determine whether the chain is transient, null recursive, or positive recursive. In the latter case, find the stationary distribution.

92

likes
459 views

Answer to a math question Let {Xn }n≥0 be a Markov chain with state space E = {0, 1, . . .} and transition probabilities given by: p0,0= 1−p0,1=(3/4) pi,i+1 =(1/2)( 1−(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥0 pi,i−1 = (1/2)( 1+(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥1 Determine whether the chain is transient, null recursive, or positive recursive. In the latter case, find the stationary distribution.

Expert avatar
Ali
4.4
92 Answers
To determine if the Markov chain is transient, null recurrent, or positive recurrent, we need to examine the recurrence properties of the chain.

Let's first calculate the probability of return to state 0, denoted as f_{0} :
For the chain to return to state 0, it must transition from state 0 to state 1, then return from state 1 to state 0.
Thus,
f_{0} = p_{0,1} \times p_{1,0} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) = \frac{3}{8}

Now, let's calculate the probability of return to state 0 after 2 steps, denoted as f_{0}^{(2)} :
For the chain to return to state 0 after 2 steps, it must transition from state 0 to state 1, then transition from state 1 to some state i, and finally transition from state i back to state 0.
Thus,
f_{0}^{(2)} = p_{0,1} \times \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} p_{1,i}p_{i,0} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right) \times \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(1 + \frac{1}{i+2}\right)

Now, observe that \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)\left(1 + \frac{1}{i+2}\right) telescopes to 1. Thus,
f_{0}^{(2)} = \frac{3}{4} \times 1 = \frac{3}{4}

As f_{0}^{(2)} is greater than f_{0} , we can conclude that the Markov chain is positive recurrent.

To find the stationary distribution, we solve the balance equations given by \pi = \pi P where \pi is the stationary distribution vector and P is the transition probability matrix.

Writing the balance equations for this Markov chain, we get:
\pi_0 = \pi_0 p_{0,0} + \pi_1 p_{1,0}
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} p_{i-1,i} + \pi_i p_{i,i} + \pi_{i+1} p_{i+1,i} \text{ for } i \geq 1

For i = 0 , we get:
\pi_0 = \pi_0 p_{0,0} + \pi_1 p_{1,0}
\pi_0 = \pi_0 \left(1 - \frac{3}{4}\right) + \pi_1 \frac{1}{2}
\frac{1}{4} \pi_0 = \frac{1}{2} \pi_1
\pi_1 = \frac{1}{2} \pi_0

For i \geq 1 , we get:
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} p_{i-1,i} + \pi_i p_{i,i} + \pi_{i+1} p_{i+1,i}
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 + \frac{1}{i+1}\right) + \pi_i \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+1}\right) + \pi_{i+1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)

Solving the above equations recursively, we get:
\pi_{i+1} = \frac{i+2}{i+1} \pi_i

Using this, we can express \pi_i in terms of \pi_0 as:
\pi_i = \frac{2}{3}\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i \pi_0

To find \pi_0 , we use the fact that the sum of all probabilities in the stationary distribution is 1:
\sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \pi_i = 1
\pi_0 \sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i = 1
\pi_0 \left(1 + \frac{1}{4} + \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2 + \ldots \right) = 1
\pi_0 \left(\frac{1}{1 - 3/4}\right) = \pi_0 \times 4 = 1
\pi_0 = \frac{1}{4}

Therefore, the stationary distribution is:
\pi_i = \frac{2}{3}\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{2}{3} \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{i+1}

\boxed{\pi_i = \frac{2}{3} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{i+1}}

Frequently asked questions (FAQs)
What is the equation of an ellipse with a major axis 8 units long, a minor axis 6 units long, and its center at the point (2, -3)?
+
What is the probability of rolling a number greater than 4 on a fair 6-sided die and drawing a red card from a standard deck of playing cards?
+
Math question: Graph the inequality 3x + 2y > 10. Identify the shaded region.
+
New questions in Mathematics
A car tire can rotate at a frequency of 3000 revolutions per minute. Given that a typical tire radius is 0.5 m, what is the centripetal acceleration of the tire?
(x^2+3x)/(x^2-9)=
What is the coefficient of elasticity of the material that must be placed on the heel of the 10 cm high clog, with a base area of 2 cm² so that it deforms only 2 cm when the force on it will be a maximum of 600 N.
what is 9% of 307
solve the following trigo equation for 0°<= x <= 360°. sec x =-2
x/20*100
4x567
All the liquid contained in a barrel is distributed into 96 equal glasses up to its maximum capacity. We want to pour the same amount of liquid from another barrel identical to the previous one into glasses identical to those used, but only up to 3/4 of its capacity. How many more glasses will be needed for this?
(5u + 6)-(3u+2)=
Identify a pattern in the list of numbers.Then use this pattern to find the next number. 37,31,25,19,13
is the x element (180,270), if tanx-3cotx=2, sinx ?
2x2 and how much?
-3(-4x+5)=-6(7x-8)+9-10x
A study reports the following final notation: F (3, 32) = 9.50, p < .05. How many total participants were involved in this study? Group of answer choices 34 32 36
I want you to solve this problem as a grade sixth pupil in primary school: 8 Pigs ate 6 bags of fee in 20 days. How long will it take 10 pigs to eat 15 bags of feed eating at the same rate?
The price per night of a suite at the Baglioni Hotel in Venice is 1896 euros, VAT included. The VAT in Italy is 25%. The hotel gets a return of 10% out of the price VAT included. b) What is the profit value made by the hotel for one
The probability of growing a seedling from a seed is 0.62. How many seeds do I need to plant so that the probability of growing at least one seedling is greater than or equal to 0.87?
Find the vertex F(x)=x^2-10x
Find I (Intrest) using simple interest formula of 17700 @ 15% for 4 years
t+72/t=-17