Question

Let {Xn }n≥0 be a Markov chain with state space E = {0, 1, . . .} and transition probabilities given by: p0,0= 1−p0,1=(3/4) pi,i+1 =(1/2)( 1−(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥0 pi,i−1 = (1/2)( 1+(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥1 Determine whether the chain is transient, null recursive, or positive recursive. In the latter case, find the stationary distribution.

92

likes
459 views

Answer to a math question Let {Xn }n≥0 be a Markov chain with state space E = {0, 1, . . .} and transition probabilities given by: p0,0= 1−p0,1=(3/4) pi,i+1 =(1/2)( 1−(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥0 pi,i−1 = (1/2)( 1+(1/(i+2))) ∀i≥1 Determine whether the chain is transient, null recursive, or positive recursive. In the latter case, find the stationary distribution.

Expert avatar
Ali
4.4
92 Answers
To determine if the Markov chain is transient, null recurrent, or positive recurrent, we need to examine the recurrence properties of the chain.

Let's first calculate the probability of return to state 0, denoted as f_{0} :
For the chain to return to state 0, it must transition from state 0 to state 1, then return from state 1 to state 0.
Thus,
f_{0} = p_{0,1} \times p_{1,0} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right) \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) = \frac{3}{8}

Now, let's calculate the probability of return to state 0 after 2 steps, denoted as f_{0}^{(2)} :
For the chain to return to state 0 after 2 steps, it must transition from state 0 to state 1, then transition from state 1 to some state i, and finally transition from state i back to state 0.
Thus,
f_{0}^{(2)} = p_{0,1} \times \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} p_{1,i}p_{i,0} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right) \times \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)\left(1 + \frac{1}{i+2}\right)

Now, observe that \sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)\left(1 + \frac{1}{i+2}\right) telescopes to 1. Thus,
f_{0}^{(2)} = \frac{3}{4} \times 1 = \frac{3}{4}

As f_{0}^{(2)} is greater than f_{0} , we can conclude that the Markov chain is positive recurrent.

To find the stationary distribution, we solve the balance equations given by \pi = \pi P where \pi is the stationary distribution vector and P is the transition probability matrix.

Writing the balance equations for this Markov chain, we get:
\pi_0 = \pi_0 p_{0,0} + \pi_1 p_{1,0}
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} p_{i-1,i} + \pi_i p_{i,i} + \pi_{i+1} p_{i+1,i} \text{ for } i \geq 1

For i = 0 , we get:
\pi_0 = \pi_0 p_{0,0} + \pi_1 p_{1,0}
\pi_0 = \pi_0 \left(1 - \frac{3}{4}\right) + \pi_1 \frac{1}{2}
\frac{1}{4} \pi_0 = \frac{1}{2} \pi_1
\pi_1 = \frac{1}{2} \pi_0

For i \geq 1 , we get:
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} p_{i-1,i} + \pi_i p_{i,i} + \pi_{i+1} p_{i+1,i}
\pi_i = \pi_{i-1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 + \frac{1}{i+1}\right) + \pi_i \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+1}\right) + \pi_{i+1} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right) \left(1 - \frac{1}{i+2}\right)

Solving the above equations recursively, we get:
\pi_{i+1} = \frac{i+2}{i+1} \pi_i

Using this, we can express \pi_i in terms of \pi_0 as:
\pi_i = \frac{2}{3}\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i \pi_0

To find \pi_0 , we use the fact that the sum of all probabilities in the stationary distribution is 1:
\sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \pi_i = 1
\pi_0 \sum_{i=0}^{\infty} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i = 1
\pi_0 \left(1 + \frac{1}{4} + \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2 + \ldots \right) = 1
\pi_0 \left(\frac{1}{1 - 3/4}\right) = \pi_0 \times 4 = 1
\pi_0 = \frac{1}{4}

Therefore, the stationary distribution is:
\pi_i = \frac{2}{3}\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^i \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{2}{3} \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{i+1}

\boxed{\pi_i = \frac{2}{3} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{i+1}}

Frequently asked questions (FAQs)
What is the probability of getting exactly 3 heads in 5 coin flips using a fair coin?
+
Question: What is the domain of the trigonometric function f(x) = sin(3x) + cos(2x) in radians?
+
What is the value of sinh(3) - cosh(2)
+
New questions in Mathematics
The gross domestic product the gdp for the United States in 2017 was approximately $2.05x10^3. If you wrote this number in standard notation , it would be 205 followed by how many zeros
Express the following numbers in decimal system, where the subscript indicates the base: 110101 (SUBINDEX=2)
The graph of the equation x²= 4py is a parabola with focus F(_,_) and directrix y=_____ Therefore, the graph of x²=12y is a parabola with focus F(_,_) and a directrix y=_____
Determine the equations of the recipes that pass through the following pairs of points P1 (2;-1) and p2 (4;-1)
Elliot opened a savings account and deposited $5000.00 as principal. The account earns 4% interest, compounded annually. How much interest will he earn after 5 years? Round your answer to the nearest cent.
What is the r.p.m. required to drill a 13/16" hole in mild steel if the cutting speed is 100 feet per minute?
-0.15/32.6
The sum of two numbers is equal to 58 and the largest exceeds by at least 12. Find the two numbers
A circular window has a rubber molding around the edge. If the window has a radius of 250 mm, how long is the piece of molding that is required ? (To the nearest mm)
How to do 15 x 3304
You are the newly appointed transport manager for Super Trucking (Pty) Ltd, which operates as a logistics service provider for various industries throughout southern Africa. One of these vehicles is a 4x2 Rigid Truck and drawbar trailer that covers 48,000 km per year. Use the assumptions below to answer the following questions (show all calculations): Overheads R 176,200 Cost of capital (% of purchase price per annum) 11.25% Annual License Fees—Truck R 16,100 Driver Monthly cost R 18,700 Assistant Monthly cost R 10,500 Purchase price: - Truck R 1,130,000 Depreciation: straight line method Truck residual value 25% Truck economic life (years) 5 Purchase price: Trailer R 370,000 Tyre usage and cost (c/km) 127 Trailer residual value 0% Trailer economic life (years) 10 Annual License Fees—Trailer R 7,700 Fuel consumption (liters/100km) 22 Fuel price (c/liter) 2053 Insurance (% of cost price) 7.5% Maintenance cost (c/km) 105 Distance travelled per year (km) 48000 Truck (tyres) 6 Trailer (tyres) 8 New tyre price (each) R 13,400 Lubricants (% of fuel cost) 2.5% Working weeks 50 Working days 5 days / week Profit margin 25% VAT 15% Q1. Calculate the annual total vehicle costs (TVC)
The function h(t)=-5t^2+20t+60 models the height in meters of a ball t seconds after it’s thrown . Which describe the intercepts and vertex of this function
What is 75 percent less than 60
Congratulations, you have saved well and are ready to begin your retirement. If you have $1,750,000.00 saved for your retirement and want it to last for 40 years, and will earn 10.8% compounded monthly: What is the amount of the monthly distribuion? 216.50 How much interest is earned in retirement?
7- A printing company found in its investigations that there were an average of 6 errors in 150-page prints. Based on this information, what is the probability of there being 48 errors in a 1200-page job?
x²-7x+12=0
To verify that a 1 kg gold bar is actually made of pure gold, a dynamometer is used to record the weight of the bar submerged in water and out of water. a) What would be the value of the weight of the ingot recorded by the dynamometer out of the water? b) What magnitude of thrust does the ingot receive when it is submerged? c) What would the weight of the ingot have to be when it is submerged? Data Pagua = 1000 kg/m³ Pagua= 19300 kg/m³
Let A denote the set of all people who were alive in 2010. Let B denote the set of all real numbers. Let f assign, to each person in A, their weight during the year 2010. Is f a function? Explain in complete sentences.
An export company grants a bonus of $100,000 pesos to distribute among three of its best employees, so that the first receives double the second and the latter receives triple the third. How much did each person receive?
In a cheese factory, one pie costs 3800 denars. The fixed ones costs are 1,200,000 denars, and variable costs are 2,500 denars per pie. To encounter: a) income functions. profit and costs; b) the break-even point and profit and loss intervals.