Let's denote the random variable representing the number of defective items out of 20 selected as X . This random variable follows a binomial distribution with n = 20 and p = 0.05 .
The probability that there are 2 or more defective items can be found by calculating the complementary event, which is the probability that there are 0 or 1 defective items.
The probability of having 0 or 1 defective item can be calculated as follows:
P(X = 0) = \binom{20}{0} (0.05)^0 (0.95)^{20}
P(X = 1) = \binom{20}{1} (0.05)^1 (0.95)^{19}
Now, the probability of having 2 or more defective items is:
P(\text{2 or more defects}) = 1 - P(X=0) - P(X=1)
Calculating each part:
P(X=0) = \binom{20}{0} (0.05)^0 (0.95)^{20} = 0.3585
P(X=1) = \binom{20}{1} (0.05)^1 (0.95)^{19} \approx 0.3774
Therefore,
P(\text{2 or more defects}) = 1 - 0.3585 - 0.3774 = 0.2641
So, the probability that production stops on any day is \boxed{0.2641} .